| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 8September 8 | at #8 Arkansas (4-8, 2-6) * | W 34-31 | 5.34 | 5.71 | -0.37 | 40.59%
| +1 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Auburn (3-9, 0-8) | L 28-31 | 4.61 | 6.85 | -2.25 | 6.81%
| +2 |
| Sep 21September 21 (Fri) | vs Baylor (8-5, 4-5) | L 42-47 | 6.59 | 6.24 | +0.35 | 58.81%
| -1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Tulane (2-10, 2-6) | W 63-10 | 8.01 | 2.29 | +5.73 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Middle Tennessee (8-4, 6-2) | W 31-17 | 5.56 | 5.79 | -0.24 | 43.98%
| +2 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | W 35-14 | 6.09 | 4.04 | +2.05 | 91.27%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at Western Kentucky (7-6, 4-4) | W 43-42 | 6.02 | 5.83 | +0.18 | 54.66%
| 0 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs South Alabama (2-11, 1-7) | W 38-24 | 5.46 | 5.22 | +0.24 | 55.99%
| 0 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs Louisiana (9-4, 6-2) | L 24-40 | 7.02 | 7.49 | -0.48 | 38.02%
| 0 |
| Nov 8November 8 (Thu) | at Arkansas State (10-3, 7-1) | L 23-45 | 5.41 | 7.85 | -2.44 | 5.33%
| -1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | vs North Texas (4-8, 3-5) | W 42-16 | 7.30 | 5.70 | +1.60 | 85.28%
| +1 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at Florida International (3-9, 2-6) | W 23-17 | 3.41 | 4.76 | -1.36 | 18.84%
| +1 |
| Dec 28December 28 (Fri) | vs Ohio (9-4, 4-4) * | L 14-45 | 4.03 | 9.12 | -5.09 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 6-2 | 5.69 | 5.89 | -0.203 | 6.00-7.00 (+2.00) | +7 |