| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs Jackson State (12-2, 10-1) | W 30-14 | 6.00 | 5.40 | +0.60 | 65.02%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs UAB (3-9, 2-6) | W 32-6 | 4.63 | 3.87 | +0.76 | 68.68%
| +3 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at #1 Texas (11-2, 7-2) | L 3-51 | 2.22 | 6.14 | -3.92 | 2.23%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Troy (4-8, 3-5) | W 13-9 | 5.04 | 4.86 | +0.18 | 54.64%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs James Madison (9-4, 4-4) | W 21-19 | 4.28 | 4.93 | -0.64 | 34.02%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Southern Miss (1-11, 0-8) | W 38-21 | 7.54 | 5.42 | +2.12 | 92.01%
| +2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at South Alabama (7-6, 5-3) | L 17-46 | 6.34 | 6.92 | -0.58 | 35.59%
| -1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Marshall (10-3, 8-1) | L 23-28 | 6.69 | 6.18 | +0.51 | 62.67%
| -1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Texas State (7-5, 5-3) | L 17-38 | 4.34 | 5.85 | -1.51 | 16.18%
| -2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Auburn (5-7, 2-6) | L 14-48 | 4.19 | 6.76 | -2.57 | 4.58%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Arkansas State (7-5, 5-3) | L 21-28 | 6.55 | 5.59 | +0.96 | 73.09%
| -2 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Louisiana (10-3, 7-2) | L 23-37 | 5.00 | 5.87 | -0.87 | 28.74%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 3-5 | 5.27 | 5.68 | -0.409 | 5.37-6.63 (-0.37) | -2 |