| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | at Minnesota (8-5, 4-4) | L 23-51 | 4.93 | 5.25 | -0.32 | 41.98%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Arizona (8-5, 4-5) | L 13-58 | 4.48 | 5.31 | -0.83 | 29.56%
| -2 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Central Michigan (6-6, 5-3) | W 31-21 | 5.79 | 4.85 | +0.94 | 72.79%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Western Illinois (4-8, 2-6) | W 38-7 | 5.97 | 4.57 | +1.40 | 81.98%
| +2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at New Mexico (3-9, 1-7) | W 56-42 | 7.89 | 8.07 | -0.18 | 45.40%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Hawai'i (1-11, 0-8) | W 39-37 | 5.12 | 6.22 | -1.10 | 23.94%
| 0 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at #17 Fresno State (11-2, 8-1) | L 14-38 | 4.39 | 7.12 | -2.73 | 3.82%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Nevada (4-8, 3-5) | W 27-22 | 5.76 | 6.41 | -0.65 | 33.94%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs San José State (6-6, 5-3) | L 24-34 | 4.62 | 6.47 | -1.86 | 11.03%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Utah State (9-5, 7-2) | L 24-28 | 4.96 | 6.04 | -1.08 | 24.29%
| +1 |
| Nov 21November 21 (Thu) | at Air Force (2-10, 0-8) | W 41-21 | 6.20 | 4.38 | +1.82 | 88.42%
| 0 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs San Diego State (8-5, 6-2) | W 45-19 | 6.37 | 4.36 | +2.01 | 90.78%
| +2 |
| Jan 1January 1 (Wed) | at North Texas (9-4, 6-2) * | L 14-36 | 3.85 | 5.29 | -1.44 | 17.36%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 5.40 | 5.74 | -0.339 | 5.65-7.35 (+1.35) | +5 |