| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Houston (4-8, 3-6) | W 27-7 | 5.18 | 4.05 | +1.14 | 76.88%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Utah Tech (2-10, 2-6) | W 72-14 | 8.68 | 5.05 | +3.62 | 97.37%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 (Fri) | at Kansas (5-7, 4-5) * | W 23-20 | 4.11 | 5.97 | -1.86 | 10.99%
| +2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Fresno State (6-6, 4-3) | W 59-14 | 8.22 | 4.55 | +3.67 | 97.40%
| +4 |
| Oct 4October 4 (Fri) | vs Syracuse (9-3, 5-3) | L 41-44 | 7.08 | 5.13 | +1.96 | 90.19%
| 0 |
| Oct 11October 11 (Fri) | at Utah State (4-8, 3-4) | W 50-34 | 8.43 | 6.42 | +2.01 | 90.87%
| +4 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Oregon State (5-7, 1-0) | W 33-25 | 5.73 | 4.97 | +0.76 | 68.66%
| 0 |
| Oct 25October 25 (Fri) | vs #17 Boise State (12-1, 8-0) | L 24-29 | 6.46 | 5.69 | +0.77 | 68.93%
| -1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Hawai'i (5-7, 3-4) | W 29-27 | 6.12 | 5.67 | +0.45 | 61.34%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs San Diego State (3-9, 2-5) | W 41-20 | 6.52 | 4.66 | +1.86 | 89.06%
| +1 |
| Nov 22November 22 (Fri) | at San José State (7-5, 3-4) | W 27-16 | 4.79 | 2.48 | +2.31 | 93.73%
| 0 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Nevada (3-10, 0-7) | W 38-14 | 8.24 | 5.44 | +2.80 | 96.41%
| +1 |
| Dec 6December 6 (Fri) | at Boise State (12-1, 8-0) | L 7-21 | 5.19 | 6.07 | -0.87 | 28.69%
| -1 |
| Dec 18December 18 (Wed) | vs California (6-7, 2-6) * | W 24-13 | 5.05 | 4.24 | +0.81 | 69.79%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-3, 6-2 | 6.40 | 5.10 | +1.308 | 10.40-3.60 (+0.60) | +14 |