| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at California (3-9, 2-7) | W 31-24 | 5.06 | 5.43 | -0.38 | 40.48%
| +1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs South Florida (3-9, 1-6) | L 31-32 | 6.03 | 7.52 | -1.49 | 16.56%
| -2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | vs Northwestern State (4-7, 2-5) | W 45-34 | 7.89 | 6.57 | +1.32 | 80.42%
| +1 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at Hawai'i (3-9, 1-7) | W 69-24 | 7.57 | 5.11 | +2.46 | 94.78%
| +2 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Texas State (4-8, 2-4) | W 34-21 | 6.66 | 4.03 | +2.62 | 95.70%
| 0 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs Wyoming (4-8, 3-5) | W 35-28 | 6.89 | 4.02 | +2.87 | 96.61%
| -1 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at UNLV (2-11, 2-6) | W 42-37 | 5.98 | 6.41 | -0.44 | 39.02%
| -1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs San Diego State (9-4, 7-1) | L 38-39 | 5.46 | 4.78 | +0.67 | 66.68%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 (Fri) | at Air Force (6-7, 5-3) | L 31-48 | 5.67 | 6.74 | -1.07 | 24.46%
| +1 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Fresno State (9-4, 7-1) | L 36-52 | 4.54 | 6.33 | -1.79 | 11.91%
| -3 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at New Mexico (4-9, 1-7) | W 31-24 | 6.38 | 6.77 | -0.39 | 40.09%
| 0 |
| Dec 1December 1 | vs #20 Boise State (11-2, 7-1) | L 21-27 | 6.52 | 6.29 | +0.23 | 55.69%
| -1 |
| Dec 15December 15 | at Arizona (8-5, 4-5) * | L 48-49 | 6.28 | 6.96 | -0.69 | 32.95%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 6.20 | 5.93 | +0.263 | 6.95-6.05 (+0.05) | -4 |