| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at Northwestern (10-3, 7-2) | L 20-31 | 5.41 | 5.77 | -0.36 | 40.89%
| 0 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs Toledo (11-3, 8-1) | L 24-37 | 6.33 | 4.90 | +1.43 | 82.46%
| -2 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Idaho State (4-7, 2-6) | L 28-30 | 4.75 | 5.25 | -0.49 | 37.60%
| -3 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at #18 Washington State (9-4, 6-3) | L 7-45 | 2.80 | 6.67 | -3.87 | 2.33%
| -1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Fresno State (10-4, 7-2) | L 21-41 | 4.36 | 7.10 | -2.74 | 3.81%
| 0 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs Hawai'i (3-9, 1-7) | W 35-21 | 7.86 | 7.69 | +0.17 | 54.23%
| +1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Colorado State (7-6, 5-3) | L 42-44 | 7.73 | 8.56 | -0.84 | 29.51%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 (Fri) | vs Air Force (5-7, 4-4) | L 42-45 | 7.71 | 6.03 | +1.68 | 86.48%
| +2 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Boise State (11-3, 8-1) | L 14-41 | 4.58 | 6.94 | -2.37 | 5.85%
| -3 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs San José State (2-11, 1-7) | W 59-14 | 6.13 | 3.92 | +2.20 | 92.80%
| +5 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at San Diego State (10-3, 6-2) | L 23-42 | 6.14 | 6.96 | -0.82 | 29.88%
| -1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs UNLV (5-7, 4-4) | W 23-16 | 6.52 | 4.44 | +2.09 | 91.65%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 3-5 | 5.87 | 6.12 | -0.253 | 5.58-6.42 (-2.58) | -2 |