| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 24August 24 | vs SMU (8-1, 5-0) | L 24-29 | 4.20 | 5.91 | -1.72 | 12.95%
| +1 |
| Aug 31August 31 | at Troy (2-7, 1-4) | W 28-26 | 7.15 | 5.92 | +1.22 | 78.56%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Georgia Southern (6-3, 4-1) | L 17-20 | 6.61 | 5.09 | +1.52 | 83.91%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Minnesota (6-4, 4-3) | L 0-27 | 3.25 | 6.66 | -3.41 | 2.73%
| -2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Eastern Washington (3-7, 2-4) | W 49-16 | 7.74 | 5.52 | +2.22 | 92.91%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at San José State (6-3, 3-2) | L 31-35 | 6.21 | 6.39 | -0.18 | 45.35%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Oregon State (4-5) | W 42-37 | 7.67 | 6.61 | +1.06 | 75.32%
| +4 |
| Oct 18October 18 (Fri) | vs Fresno State (5-5, 3-3) | L 21-24 | 4.61 | 5.45 | -0.84 | 29.47%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Hawai'i (4-6, 2-3) | L 13-34 | 5.76 | 6.23 | -0.47 | 38.10%
| -1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Colorado State (6-3, 4-0) | L 21-38 | 6.68 | 6.21 | +0.47 | 61.79%
| -2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at #12 Boise State (8-1, 5-0) | L 21-28 | 5.60 | 5.87 | -0.27 | 43.17%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Air Force (2-7, 1-4) | | | | | | |
| Nov 30November 30 | at UNLV (7-2, 3-1) | 8:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-8, 0-5 | 5.97 | 6.01 | -0.045 | 5.64-5.36 (-2.64) | -1 |