| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs #8 Sacramento State (8-5, 4-4) | L 24-38 | 4.51 | 5.80 | -1.29 | 19.99%
| 0 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at TCU (5-7, 3-6) | L 6-41 | 3.51 | 6.31 | -2.81 | 3.57%
| 0 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Tulane (11-3, 8-1) | L 7-36 | 5.08 | 7.03 | -1.96 | 9.75%
| -1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at McNeese (0-10, 0-6) | W 31-10 | 4.44 | 6.52 | -2.08 | 8.41%
| +3 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs Houston Christian (6-5, 4-3) | W 38-7 | 6.39 | 3.19 | +3.20 | 97.18%
| +3 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Northwestern State (0-9, 0-5) | 4:00 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Texas A&M-Commerce (2-9, 2-5) | W 27-7 | 6.68 | 4.68 | +2.00 | 90.75%
| +2 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs Southeast Missouri State (4-7, 3-3) | L 31-35 | 5.01 | 5.37 | -0.36 | 40.97%
| -2 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at #4 Incarnate Word (9-2, 6-1) | W 45-32 | 5.93 | 6.73 | -0.79 | 30.53%
| +2 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Lamar (6-5, 5-2) | W 37-24 | 7.00 | 6.30 | +0.70 | 67.23%
| +3 |
| Nov 16November 16 (Thu) | at Southeastern Louisiana (3-8, 3-4) | W 21-16 | 7.40 | 3.93 | +3.47 | 97.31%
| -2 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at #17 Southern Illinois (8-5, 4-4) | L 0-35 | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 6-0 | 5.50 | 5.58 | -0.074 | 4.66-5.34 (+1.34) | +8 |