| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 23August 23 | vs #4 Incarnate Word (5-7, 3-4) | W 20-6 | 4.42 | 2.96 | +1.46 | 82.94%
| +3 |
| Aug 30August 30 | at Troy (7-4, 5-2) | L 20-38 | 4.79 | 6.12 | -1.33 | 19.35%
| -1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs West Georgia (8-3, 5-3) | L 10-34 | 3.75 | 4.82 | -1.07 | 24.43%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Texas State (5-6, 2-5) | L 3-35 | 3.50 | 5.81 | -2.31 | 6.27%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Eastern Kentucky (5-7, 3-5) | L 7-27 | 5.24 | 5.32 | -0.08 | 47.85%
| -3 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at #25 Lamar (8-4, 4-3) | L 17-24 | 4.77 | 5.81 | -1.04 | 25.02%
| +1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Stephen F. Austin (10-2, 7-0) | L 7-34 | 3.07 | 5.81 | -2.75 | 3.78%
| +2 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs McNeese (5-7, 4-3) | W 31-7 | 6.54 | 6.00 | +0.54 | 63.37%
| +2 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Houston Christian (2-10, 1-6) | W 31-7 | 5.78 | 5.03 | +0.74 | 68.25%
| +4 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at UT Rio Grande Valley (9-3) | L 21-28 | 4.30 | 6.32 | -2.02 | 9.05%
| -1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Northwestern State (1-11, 0-8) | W 26-21 | 6.70 | 4.95 | +1.75 | 87.47%
| -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 (Thu) | at #20 SE Louisiana (9-3, 6-1) | L 26-38 | 5.31 | 6.16 | -0.85 | 29.14%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 4-3 | 4.87 | 5.39 | -0.522 | 4.67-7.33 (-0.67) | +7 |