| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | vs Robert Morris (4-7, 3-5) | W 52-0 | 7.39 | 1.73 | +5.66 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 8September 8 | at Colorado State (4-8, 3-5) | W 22-7 | 4.52 | 4.98 | -0.46 | 38.41%
| +1 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Prairie View (3-8, 3-6) | W 66-7 | 8.65 | 3.62 | +5.03 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at #14 Northern Iowa (5-6, 4-4) | W 33-21 | 5.82 | 5.59 | +0.23 | 55.84%
| +3 |
| Oct 6October 6 | vs #3 Youngstown State (7-4, 4-4) | W 48-7 | 5.78 | 4.14 | +1.64 | 85.90%
| +3 |
| Oct 13October 13 | vs Indiana State (7-4, 5-3) | L 14-17 | 4.26 | 4.02 | +0.24 | 56.07%
| -3 |
| Oct 20October 20 | at South Dakota (1-10, 0-8) | W 54-0 | 5.66 | 1.65 | +4.01 | 98.05%
| +2 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs Southern Illinois (6-5, 5-3) | W 23-17 | 5.08 | 4.12 | +0.96 | 73.23%
| 0 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at Missouri State (3-8, 3-5) | W 21-17 | 4.04 | 2.76 | +1.28 | 79.69%
| 0 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs #16 South Dakota State (9-4, 6-3) | W 20-17 | 3.98 | 3.80 | +0.18 | 54.65%
| -1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at #11 Illinois State (9-4, 5-3) | W 38-20 | 6.73 | 4.82 | +1.91 | 89.64%
| +1 |
| Dec 1December 1 | vs South Dakota State (9-4, 6-3) | W 28-3 | 4.69 | 4.02 | +0.67 | 66.53%
| +1 |
| Dec 8December 8 | vs Wofford (9-4, 6-2) | W 14-7 | 4.68 | 5.62 | -0.94 | 27.18%
| 0 |
| Dec 14December 14 (Fri) | vs Georgia Southern (10-4, 6-2) | W 23-20 | 5.52 | 6.83 | -1.31 | 19.80%
| +1 |
| Jan 5January 5 | at Sam Houston State (11-4, 6-1) * | W 39-13 | 7.11 | 5.36 | +1.76 | 87.62%
| +4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 14-1, 8-1 | 5.56 | 4.30 | +1.255 | 10.33-4.67 (+3.67) | +16 |