| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Drake (3-8, 3-5) | W 56-14 | 7.72 | 3.17 | +4.55 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs North Carolina A&T (7-4, 4-1) | W 43-3 | 5.69 | 3.00 | +2.69 | 95.99%
| +3 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Arizona (5-7, 3-6) | L 28-31 | 7.14 | 6.16 | +0.98 | 73.69%
| -1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at South Dakota (3-8, 2-6) | W 34-17 | 5.95 | 4.82 | +1.13 | 76.78%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Youngstown State (7-4, 5-3) | W 27-14 | 5.81 | 5.62 | +0.19 | 54.86%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Indiana State (2-9, 1-7) | W 31-26 | 6.96 | 6.18 | +0.78 | 69.11%
| -3 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs #3 South Dakota State (13-1, 8-0) | L 21-23 | 6.81 | 6.19 | +0.62 | 65.36%
| -1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Illinois State (6-5, 4-4) | W 24-7 | 5.49 | 4.38 | +1.11 | 76.24%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Western Illinois (0-11, 0-8) | W 56-17 | 8.00 | 4.59 | +3.41 | 97.29%
| +3 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Southern Illinois (5-6, 4-4) | W 21-18 | 4.77 | 4.58 | +0.19 | 54.77%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs #23 North Dakota (7-5, 5-3) | W 42-21 | 7.79 | 5.58 | +2.21 | 92.88%
| +1 |
| Dec 3December 3 | vs Montana (8-5, 4-4) | W 49-26 | 10.26 | 4.01 | +6.25 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Dec 9December 9 (Fri) | vs Samford (11-2, 8-0) | W 24-3 | 5.81 | 3.57 | +2.24 | 93.10%
| 0 |
| Dec 16December 16 (Fri) | vs Incarnate Word (12-2, 4-0) | W 35-32 | 5.81 | 5.74 | +0.07 | 51.79%
| +3 |
| Jan 8January 8 (Sun) | at South Dakota State (13-1, 8-0) * | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 12-2, 7-1 | 6.68 | 4.83 | +1.851 | 11.02-2.98 (+0.98) | +13 |