| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | at Colorado (9-3, 7-2) | L 26-31 | 6.51 | 8.84 | -2.33 | 6.09%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Tennessee State (9-4, 6-2) | W 52-3 | 6.81 | 3.64 | +3.18 | 97.15%
| +2 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at East Tennessee State (7-5, 5-3) | W 38-35 | 6.17 | 7.09 | -0.93 | 27.54%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Towson (7-5, 5-3) | W 41-24 | 5.65 | 7.18 | -1.52 | 15.94%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at #15 Illinois State (10-4, 6-2) | W 42-10 | 7.66 | 4.20 | +3.46 | 97.30%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs #6 North Dakota (5-7, 2-6) | W 41-17 | 6.22 | 4.94 | +1.27 | 79.56%
| +2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Southern Illinois (4-8, 2-6) | W 24-3 | 5.42 | 3.74 | +1.68 | 86.47%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs #1 South Dakota State (12-3, 7-2) | W 13-9 | 4.66 | 5.05 | -0.38 | 40.29%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Murray State (1-11, 0-8) | W 59-6 | 7.53 | 4.05 | +3.47 | 97.31%
| +5 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Northern Iowa (3-9, 1-7) | W 42-19 | | | | | |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs #14 Missouri State (8-4, 6-2) | W 59-21 | 8.85 | 5.70 | +3.14 | 97.12%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at #4 South Dakota (11-3, 7-1) | L 28-29 | 4.93 | 6.52 | -1.59 | 14.88%
| 0 |
| Dec 7December 7 | vs Abilene Christian (9-5, 7-1) | W 51-31 | 6.56 | 5.75 | +0.81 | 69.87%
| +2 |
| Dec 14December 14 | vs Mercer (11-3, 7-1) | W 31-7 | 5.85 | 3.80 | +2.05 | 91.24%
| -1 |
| Dec 21December 21 | vs South Dakota State (12-3, 7-2) | W 28-21 | 5.88 | 5.05 | +0.83 | 70.28%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 13-2, 8-1 | 6.33 | 5.39 | +0.943 | 8.91-5.09 (+4.09) | +17 |