| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | vs #15 Arizona State (6-7, 4-5) * | W 38-17 | 5.31 | 3.55 | +1.76 | 87.72%
| -1 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Ball State (3-9, 2-6) | W 56-23 | 6.45 | 5.55 | +0.89 | 71.74%
| 0 |
| Sep 19September 19 | vs Nevada (7-6, 5-4) | W 44-27 | 7.04 | 4.85 | +2.19 | 92.66%
| -1 |
| Sep 26September 26 | at Arkansas (8-5, 5-3) * | W 28-21 | 8.81 | 6.82 | +1.99 | 90.62%
| +2 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs #21 Mississippi State (9-4, 4-4) | W 30-17 | 6.00 | 5.97 | +0.03 | 50.73%
| +2 |
| Oct 17October 17 | vs #10 Alabama (14-1, 8-1) | L 23-41 | 4.51 | 5.66 | -1.14 | 22.96%
| -3 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at #24 Ole Miss (10-3, 6-2) | L 3-23 | 2.67 | 5.12 | -2.45 | 5.25%
| +1 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs South Carolina (3-9, 1-7) | W 35-28 | 6.63 | 6.64 | -0.01 | 49.79%
| +2 |
| Nov 7November 7 | vs Auburn (7-6, 2-6) | L 10-26 | 4.15 | 6.42 | -2.27 | 6.61%
| -3 |
| Nov 14November 14 | vs Western Carolina (7-4, 5-2) | W 41-17 | 6.01 | 5.21 | +0.80 | 69.69%
| -2 |
| Nov 21November 21 | at Vanderbilt (4-8, 2-6) | W 25-0 | 6.57 | 2.47 | +4.10 | 98.42%
| +1 |
| Nov 28November 28 | at LSU (9-3, 5-3) | L 7-19 | 3.91 | 4.81 | -0.90 | 28.05%
| -2 |
| Dec 30December 30 (Wed) | at Louisville (8-5, 5-3) * | L 21-27 | 5.12 | 7.42 | -2.30 | 6.35%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 4-4 | 5.59 | 5.42 | +0.177 | 6.81-6.19 (+1.19) | -6 |