| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 24August 24 | at Southeast Missouri State (8-2, 5-1) * | L 15-37 | 5.42 | 4.90 | +0.53 | 63.22%
| -3 |
| Aug 31August 31 | at Memphis (8-2, 4-2) | L 0-40 | 3.14 | 6.55 | -3.42 | 2.72%
| -3 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs #22 Illinois State (7-3, 4-2) | L 17-24 | 6.02 | 7.10 | -1.09 | 24.10%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at UT Martin (7-3, 5-1) | L 28-43 | 5.39 | 5.62 | -0.24 | 44.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs #17 Tarleton State (8-2, 5-1) | L 14-28 | 4.70 | 7.42 | -2.73 | 3.85%
| -2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at West Georgia (3-7, 0-7) | W 25-16 | 4.17 | 5.72 | -1.54 | 15.61%
| +1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Utah Tech (1-9, 1-5) | W 60-14 | 7.06 | 4.14 | +2.92 | 96.74%
| +3 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs #12 Abilene Christian (7-3, 6-1) | W 47-34 | 8.16 | 6.24 | +1.92 | 89.79%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at #10 Central Arkansas (6-4, 3-3) | L 19-24 | 4.84 | 5.19 | -0.35 | 41.12%
| -5 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Austin Peay (4-6, 3-4) | L 17-31 | 6.16 | 7.84 | -1.68 | 13.49%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Southern Utah (5-5, 4-2) | L 26-38 | 9.19 | 5.15 | +4.04 | 98.15%
| -2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Eastern Kentucky (6-4, 4-2) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-8, 3-4 | 5.72 | 5.95 | -0.227 | 4.93-6.07 (-1.93) | -12 |