| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | vs UNLV (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-30 | 8.02 | 5.67 | +2.35 | 94.01%
| +1 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Murray State (3-8, 2-6) | W 57-26 | 7.66 | 4.44 | +3.21 | 97.18%
| +1 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at #1 Ohio State (12-1, 7-1) | L 13-20 | 2.57 | 4.52 | -1.95 | 9.88%
| +3 |
| Sep 26September 26 | at Boston College (3-9, 0-8) | L 14-17 | 2.73 | 4.23 | -1.50 | 16.31%
| -1 |
| Oct 3October 3 | at Central Michigan (7-6, 6-2) | L 19-29 | 3.55 | 4.02 | -0.46 | 38.31%
| -3 |
| Oct 10October 10 | vs Ball State (3-9, 2-6) | W 59-41 | 6.99 | 5.72 | +1.27 | 79.57%
| 0 |
| Oct 17October 17 | at Miami (OH) (3-9, 2-6) | W 45-12 | 8.16 | 4.18 | +3.98 | 97.96%
| 0 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs Eastern Michigan (1-11, 0-8) | W 49-21 | 6.08 | 4.32 | +1.76 | 87.67%
| +1 |
| Nov 3November 3 (Tue) | at #24 Toledo (10-2, 6-2) | W 32-27 | 5.08 | 5.15 | -0.07 | 48.24%
| +1 |
| Nov 11November 11 (Wed) | at Buffalo (5-7, 3-5) | W 41-30 | 5.76 | 6.17 | -0.41 | 39.58%
| +1 |
| Nov 18November 18 (Wed) | vs Western Michigan (8-5, 6-2) | W 27-19 | 6.77 | 5.93 | +0.85 | 70.63%
| +1 |
| Nov 24November 24 (Tue) | vs Ohio (8-5, 5-3) | L 21-26 | 4.56 | 5.04 | -0.48 | 37.87%
| +1 |
| Dec 4December 4 (Fri) | vs Bowling Green (10-4, 8-1) * | L 14-34 | 3.92 | 5.57 | -1.64 | 14.05%
| -3 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Wed) | vs Boise State (9-4, 5-3) * | L 7-55 | 0.65 | 6.74 | -6.10 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-6, 6-3 | 5.33 | 5.17 | +0.159 | 7.31-6.69 (+0.69) | +2 |