| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Western Illinois (4-8, 3-5) | W 54-15 | 10.09 | 5.14 | +4.95 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at #5 Notre Dame (11-1) | W 16-14 | 5.97 | 4.69 | +1.28 | 79.71%
| +2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Buffalo (8-4, 6-2) | L 20-23 | 4.22 | 3.41 | +0.82 | 69.98%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at NC State (6-6, 3-5) | L 17-24 | 3.82 | 3.83 | 0.00 | 49.87%
| -4 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Massachusetts (2-10, 0-1) | W 34-20 | 6.28 | 5.91 | +0.38 | 59.44%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Bowling Green (7-5, 6-2) | W 17-7 | 4.01 | 3.66 | +0.35 | 58.91%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Toledo (7-5, 4-4) | L 6-13 | 4.25 | 4.39 | -0.13 | 46.56%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Ball State (3-9, 2-6) | L 23-25 | 5.79 | 5.31 | +0.48 | 61.96%
| -3 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Wed) | at Western Michigan (6-7, 5-3) | W 42-28 | 6.85 | 6.09 | +0.76 | 68.61%
| +2 |
| Nov 13November 13 (Wed) | vs Akron (4-8, 3-5) | W 29-16 | 7.57 | 3.36 | +4.21 | 99.04%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 (Tue) | at Miami (OH) (8-5, 7-2) | L 9-20 | 3.23 | 6.23 | -3.00 | 3.09%
| -1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Central Michigan (4-8, 2-6) | W 24-16 | 4.61 | 3.64 | +0.97 | 73.35%
| +2 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Mon) | at Fresno State (6-6, 4-3) * | 2:30 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 4-4 | 5.43 | 4.65 | +0.773 | 7.71-4.29 (-0.71) | -2 |