| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Iowa State (6-7, 3-6) | L 19-20 | 5.20 | 4.22 | +0.99 | 73.77%
| +4 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at #16 Stephen F. Austin (6-5, 5-2) | W 34-23 | 4.81 | 6.36 | -1.55 | 15.44%
| +3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Western Illinois (2-9, 1-7) | W 38-10 | 7.61 | 5.18 | +2.43 | 94.61%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Missouri State (2-9, 2-6) | W 42-7 | 7.98 | 4.80 | +3.19 | 97.16%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs #17 Indiana State (6-5, 4-4) | W 23-9 | 6.05 | 5.42 | +0.63 | 65.73%
| +2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at South Dakota State (5-6, 4-4) | W 31-14 | 7.87 | 5.40 | +2.47 | 94.84%
| +4 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Southern Illinois (4-7, 2-6) | W 17-10 | 5.12 | 4.00 | +1.12 | 76.56%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at #3 North Dakota State (14-1, 7-1) | L 19-27 | 6.35 | 5.95 | +0.40 | 60.06%
| -2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Youngstown State (6-5, 4-4) | W 21-17 | 5.43 | 3.99 | +1.44 | 82.60%
| +2 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Southern Utah (6-5, 1-3) | W 34-21 | 7.24 | 5.72 | +1.52 | 83.92%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at #14 Illinois State (7-4, 5-3) | W 23-20 | 4.00 | 4.43 | -0.43 | 39.16%
| 0 |
| Dec 3December 3 | vs Wofford (8-4, 6-2) | W 28-21 | 5.02 | 5.98 | -0.96 | 26.90%
| 0 |
| Dec 9December 9 (Fri) | at Montana (11-3, 7-1) | L 10-48 | 4.72 | 6.96 | -2.23 | 6.92%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 7-1 | 5.92 | 5.23 | +0.689 | 8.18-4.82 (+1.82) | +13 |