| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Air Force (10-3, 5-3) | L 17-48 | 7.23 | 10.16 | -2.93 | 3.24%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at North Dakota (7-5, 5-3) | L 27-29 | 9.76 | 6.64 | +3.12 | 97.10%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs #7 Sacramento State (12-1, 8-0) | L 21-37 | 6.02 | 5.37 | +0.65 | 66.07%
| -3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Western Illinois (0-11, 0-8) | W 52-17 | 6.24 | 5.12 | +1.12 | 76.53%
| +3 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Indiana State (2-9, 1-7) | W 20-14 | 5.84 | 4.46 | +1.37 | 81.41%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Illinois State (6-5, 4-4) | L 21-23 | 6.31 | 5.18 | +1.13 | 76.81%
| -1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Utah Tech (4-7, 3-3) | W 41-14 | 7.03 | 5.19 | +1.84 | 88.73%
| +2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Missouri State (5-6, 3-5) | W 41-20 | 6.61 | 4.70 | +1.91 | 89.59%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at #24 Southern Illinois (5-6, 4-4) | W 37-36 | 6.59 | 7.71 | -1.13 | 23.25%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs #1 South Dakota State (14-1, 9-0) | L 28-31 | 6.07 | 5.85 | +0.22 | 55.52%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at South Dakota (3-8, 2-6) | W 58-14 | 8.47 | 4.14 | +4.33 | 99.92%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 5-3 | 6.86 | 5.94 | +0.926 | 7.58-3.42 (-1.58) | +2 |