| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at #3 LSU (10-3, 6-2) | L 14-41 | 3.91 | 7.06 | -3.14 | 2.89%
| -1 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Texas Southern (2-9, 2-7) | W 34-7 | 6.14 | 2.98 | +3.15 | 97.13%
| +2 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at #15 Kansas State (11-2, 8-1) | L 21-35 | 5.19 | 7.77 | -2.58 | 4.52%
| +2 |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Troy (5-7, 3-5) | L 7-14 | 5.86 | 5.16 | +0.70 | 67.28%
| +1 |
| Sep 29September 29 | at Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | W 20-14 | 5.12 | 4.24 | +0.88 | 71.35%
| +2 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Houston (5-7, 4-4) | L 21-44 | 6.19 | 7.89 | -1.69 | 13.28%
| -2 |
| Oct 16October 16 (Tue) | vs Louisiana (9-4, 6-2) | W 30-23 | 6.55 | 6.18 | +0.37 | 59.23%
| +2 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at Middle Tennessee (8-4, 6-2) | L 21-38 | 6.00 | 7.28 | -1.28 | 20.21%
| -4 |
| Nov 3November 3 | vs Arkansas State (10-3, 7-1) | L 19-37 | 5.06 | 7.29 | -2.23 | 6.96%
| -2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs South Alabama (2-11, 1-7) | W 24-14 | 5.05 | 4.31 | +0.74 | 68.33%
| +1 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Louisiana Monroe (8-5, 6-2) | L 16-42 | 5.70 | 7.30 | -1.60 | 14.70%
| -1 |
| Nov 24November 24 | at Western Kentucky (7-6, 4-4) | L 24-25 | 4.60 | 6.47 | -1.87 | 10.89%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 5.52 | 6.11 | -0.597 | 4.37-7.63 (-0.37) | +1 |