| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs #17 UC Davis (11-3, 7-1) | W 31-13 | 4.26 | 4.16 | +0.09 | 52.35%
| +2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Auburn (5-7, 2-6) | W 21-14 | 4.84 | 5.02 | -0.18 | 45.49%
| +5 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs San Diego State (3-9, 2-5) | W 31-10 | 6.66 | 4.25 | +2.42 | 94.50%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Florida State (2-10, 1-7) | L 9-14 | 5.54 | 4.18 | +1.36 | 81.26%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs #8 Miami (10-2, 6-2) | L 38-39 | 7.55 | 6.69 | +0.86 | 71.08%
| 0 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at #22 Pittsburgh (7-5, 3-5) | L 15-17 | 4.35 | 4.95 | -0.60 | 35.13%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs NC State (6-6, 3-5) | L 23-24 | 5.54 | 5.42 | +0.12 | 53.12%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Oregon State (5-7, 1-0) | W 44-7 | 6.99 | 3.64 | +3.35 | 97.26%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 (Fri) | at Wake Forest (4-8, 2-6) | W 46-36 | 5.75 | 5.15 | +0.60 | 64.94%
| +3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Syracuse (9-3, 5-3) | L 25-33 | 6.86 | 5.61 | +1.25 | 79.17%
| -2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Stanford (3-9, 2-6) | W 24-21 | 5.67 | 3.84 | +1.83 | 88.60%
| -1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at #9 SMU (11-2, 8-1) | L 6-38 | 4.03 | 6.48 | -2.45 | 5.25%
| -1 |
| Dec 18December 18 (Wed) | at UNLV (11-3, 6-2) * | L 13-24 | 4.24 | 5.05 | -0.81 | 30.18%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 2-6 | 5.49 | 5.01 | +0.476 | 7.98-5.02 (-1.98) | +11 |