| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Middle Tennessee (2-10, 1-7) | W 27-24 | 5.28 | 5.75 | -0.47 | 38.28%
| -1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Rice (4-8, 3-5) | L 22-24 | 5.31 | 4.66 | +0.64 | 65.96%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 2-6) | W 59-0 | 8.04 | 2.90 | +5.14 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Notre Dame (8-5) | L 10-38 | 4.43 | 6.80 | -2.37 | 5.81%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Minnesota (3-9, 2-6) | W 45-17 | 5.19 | 3.93 | +1.26 | 79.33%
| +3 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at #25 Penn State (9-4, 6-2) | L 18-23 | 5.52 | 5.30 | +0.23 | 55.76%
| -2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs #23 Illinois (7-6, 2-6) | W 21-14 | 4.72 | 5.23 | -0.51 | 37.12%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at #18 Michigan (11-2, 6-2) | L 14-36 | 5.91 | 7.76 | -1.85 | 11.15%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at #20 Wisconsin (11-3, 7-2) | L 17-62 | 4.90 | 7.91 | -3.01 | 3.07%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Ohio State (6-7, 3-5) | W 26-23 | 4.65 | 4.80 | -0.16 | 45.98%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Iowa (7-6, 4-4) | L 21-31 | 4.41 | 5.64 | -1.23 | 21.32%
| -2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Indiana (1-11, 0-8) | W 33-25 | 5.98 | 6.08 | -0.11 | 47.27%
| +1 |
| Dec 27December 27 (Tue) | vs Western Michigan (7-6, 5-3) * | W 37-32 | 6.04 | 6.30 | -0.26 | 43.46%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 4-4 | 5.45 | 5.71 | -0.261 | 5.55-7.45 (+1.45) | +1 |