| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Fri) | at Connecticut (2-10, 1-7) | W 35-10 | 7.03 | 4.49 | +2.53 | 95.24%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #25 Texas (6-7, 5-4) | W 41-7 | 4.88 | 3.91 | +0.97 | 73.30%
| +2 |
| Sep 11September 11 (Thu) | vs Houston (8-5, 5-3) | W 33-25 | 5.45 | 4.91 | +0.54 | 63.46%
| -3 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Virginia (5-7, 3-5) | W 41-33 | 5.53 | 5.09 | +0.45 | 61.17%
| +2 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Fri) | vs Utah State (10-4, 6-2) | L 20-35 | 5.74 | 6.44 | -0.69 | 32.82%
| -3 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Thu) | at UCF (9-4, 7-1) | L 24-31 | 3.98 | 4.58 | -0.60 | 35.04%
| +2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Nevada (7-6, 4-4) | L 35-42 | 5.89 | 5.41 | +0.48 | 62.13%
| -3 |
| Oct 24October 24 (Fri) | at Boise State (12-2, 8-1) | L 30-55 | 5.03 | 8.06 | -3.03 | 3.04%
| -1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Middle Tennessee (6-6, 5-3) | W 27-7 | 5.29 | 3.30 | +1.98 | 90.50%
| +2 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs UNLV (2-11, 1-7) | W 42-23 | 8.11 | 4.48 | +3.63 | 97.38%
| -1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Savannah State (0-11, 0-8) | W 64-0 | 6.07 | 1.24 | +4.84 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at California (5-7, 3-6) | W 42-35 | 7.01 | 5.60 | +1.41 | 82.07%
| -1 |
| Dec 22December 22 (Mon) | at Memphis (10-3, 7-1) * | L 48-55 | 4.67 | 4.95 | -0.28 | 42.94%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5 | 5.70 | 4.93 | +0.769 | 8.39-4.61 (-0.39) | -1 |