| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 26August 26 | vs Portland State (0-11, 0-9) | W 20-6 | 5.89 | 3.06 | +2.83 | 96.51%
| +1 |
| Sep 2September 2 | at #13 LSU (9-4, 6-2) * | L 0-27 | 2.55 | 6.39 | -3.83 | 2.40%
| -1 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs #23 Utah (7-6, 3-6) | L 13-19 | 3.70 | 5.89 | -2.19 | 7.29%
| -1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs #10 Wisconsin (13-1, 9-1) | L 6-40 | 4.17 | 7.22 | -3.05 | 3.02%
| -2 |
| Sep 29September 29 (Fri) | at Utah State (6-7, 4-4) | L 24-40 | 5.28 | 3.89 | +1.39 | 81.69%
| -6 |
| Oct 6October 6 (Fri) | vs Boise State (11-3, 8-1) | L 7-24 | 3.97 | 4.48 | -0.51 | 37.18%
| -1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Mississippi State (9-4, 4-4) | L 10-35 | 3.83 | 6.50 | -2.67 | 4.07%
| +1 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at East Carolina (3-9, 2-6) | L 17-33 | 5.85 | 6.35 | -0.51 | 37.28%
| 0 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs San José State (2-11, 1-7) | W 41-20 | 7.77 | 4.23 | +3.54 | 97.33%
| +3 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Fresno State (10-4, 7-2) | L 13-20 | 4.80 | 5.17 | -0.37 | 40.73%
| -1 |
| Nov 10November 10 (Fri) | at UNLV (5-7, 4-4) | W 31-21 | 6.64 | 6.67 | -0.03 | 49.19%
| +2 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs UMass (4-8) | L 10-16 | 4.21 | 4.40 | -0.19 | 45.27%
| -4 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at Hawai'i (3-9, 1-7) | W 30-20 | 5.78 | 5.40 | +0.39 | 59.71%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-9 | 5.14 | 5.35 | -0.208 | 5.62-7.38 (-1.62) | -10 |