| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | at #12 Utah (4-5, 2-5) | L 0-49 | 2.94 | 7.89 | -4.95 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at UTEP (2-8, 2-5) | W 27-24 | 5.89 | 6.41 | -0.52 | 37.04%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs #12 UC Davis (9-1, 6-0) | L 21-24 | 5.08 | 6.25 | -1.17 | 22.40%
| 0 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Idaho State (5-5, 3-3) | L 28-38 | 6.14 | 6.93 | -0.80 | 30.46%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Austin Peay (4-6, 3-4) | W 28-17 | 7.30 | 5.04 | +2.26 | 93.29%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs #14 Tarleton State (8-2, 5-1) | L 37-38 | 6.15 | 6.72 | -0.57 | 35.65%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Eastern Kentucky (6-4, 4-2) | W 42-21 | 6.34 | 4.76 | +1.58 | 85.01%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs West Georgia (3-7, 0-7) | W 28-17 | 6.35 | 5.68 | +0.67 | 66.71%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at #18 Abilene Christian (7-3, 6-1) | L 25-28 | 5.19 | 6.18 | -0.99 | 26.20%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at North Alabama (3-8, 3-4) | W 38-26 | 5.15 | 9.19 | -4.04 | 1.85%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at #19 Central Arkansas (6-4, 3-3) | 5:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Utah Tech (1-9, 1-5) | 3:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-5, 4-2 | 5.71 | 6.45 | -0.737 | 3.99-6.01 (+1.01) | +4 |