| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Rice (4-8, 3-5) | W 34-14 | 5.58 | 4.42 | +1.16 | 77.27%
| +2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at UCF (4-8, 2-7) | L 14-45 | 5.42 | 7.49 | -2.07 | 8.49%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Hawai'i (5-7, 3-4) | W 31-13 | 6.27 | 4.89 | +1.38 | 81.47%
| -1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs New Mexico State (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-11 | 4.72 | 2.67 | +2.05 | 91.27%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Texas State (7-5, 5-3) * | W 40-39 | 5.27 | 6.22 | -0.96 | 26.86%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Thu) | at UTEP (3-9, 3-5) | W 41-21 | 6.31 | 5.13 | +1.18 | 77.71%
| +3 |
| Oct 16October 16 (Wed) | vs Western Kentucky (8-6, 6-3) | L 14-31 | 5.71 | 5.79 | -0.07 | 48.09%
| -1 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Tue) | at Florida International (4-8, 3-5) * | W 10-7 | 3.23 | 3.43 | -0.20 | 44.99%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Tue) | vs Louisiana Tech (5-7, 4-4) | W 9-3 | 4.62 | 3.90 | +0.72 | 67.78%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Kennesaw State (2-10, 2-6) | W 23-17 | 5.09 | 4.12 | +0.97 | 73.49%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Jacksonville State (9-5, 8-1) | L 11-21 | 3.99 | 4.74 | -0.76 | 31.31%
| +1 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs Liberty (8-3, 5-3) | W 20-18 | 4.27 | 3.59 | +0.68 | 66.84%
| +1 |
| Dec 19December 19 (Thu) | vs Georgia Southern (8-5, 6-2) * | W 31-26 | 4.54 | 5.10 | -0.56 | 35.95%
| +4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 6-2 | 5.03 | 4.78 | +0.246 | 7.32-5.68 (+2.68) | +12 |