| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Rice (3-7, 2-4) | W 34-14 | 5.58 | 4.42 | +1.16 | 77.27%
| +2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at UCF (4-6, 2-5) | L 14-45 | 5.42 | 7.49 | -2.07 | 8.49%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Hawai'i (4-7, 2-4) | W 31-13 | 6.27 | 4.89 | +1.38 | 81.47%
| -1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs New Mexico State (2-8, 1-5) | W 31-11 | 4.72 | 2.67 | +2.05 | 91.27%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Texas State (6-4, 4-2) * | W 40-39 | 5.27 | 6.22 | -0.96 | 26.86%
| 0 |
| Oct 3October 3 (Thu) | at UTEP (2-8, 2-5) | W 41-21 | 6.31 | 5.13 | +1.18 | 77.71%
| +3 |
| Oct 16October 16 (Wed) | vs Western Kentucky (7-3, 5-1) | L 14-31 | 5.71 | 5.79 | -0.07 | 48.09%
| -1 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Tue) | at Florida International (3-7, 2-4) * | W 10-7 | 3.23 | 3.43 | -0.20 | 44.99%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Tue) | vs Louisiana Tech (4-6, 3-4) | W 9-3 | 4.62 | 3.90 | +0.72 | 67.78%
| +2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Kennesaw State (1-9, 1-5) | W 23-17 | 5.09 | 4.12 | +0.97 | 73.49%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Jacksonville State (7-3, 6-0) | 12:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | vs Liberty (7-2, 4-2) | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-2, 5-1 | 5.25 | 4.88 | +0.370 | 5.97-4.03 (+2.03) | +6 |