| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | vs #15 Pittsburgh (8-5, 5-2) | W 27-24 | 6.43 | 4.41 | +2.02 | 90.97%
| -1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs UNLV (2-11, 2-7) | W 38-10 | 7.04 | 4.18 | +2.86 | 96.61%
| 0 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at New Mexico (1-11, 1-8) | W 56-14 | 7.45 | 3.57 | +3.88 | 97.69%
| -2 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs San José State (1-12, 0-8) | W 56-3 | 6.67 | 4.27 | +2.41 | 94.43%
| 0 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Iowa State (5-7, 3-5) | W 68-27 | 7.51 | 5.59 | +1.92 | 89.76%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Wyoming (3-9, 1-7) | W 30-6 | 6.97 | 3.89 | +3.08 | 97.04%
| -3 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs Colorado State (3-9, 2-6) | W 59-6 | 9.51 | 4.64 | +4.87 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Air Force (9-4, 5-3) | W 28-23 | 4.42 | 7.65 | -3.23 | 2.81%
| +4 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs #3 TCU (13-0, 10-0) | L 7-47 | 4.00 | 7.75 | -3.75 | 2.52%
| -3 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Notre Dame (8-5) | L 3-28 | 4.09 | 5.37 | -1.28 | 20.27%
| -2 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at San Diego State (9-4, 5-3) | W 38-34 | 7.29 | 7.97 | -0.68 | 33.05%
| +3 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs BYU (7-6, 6-3) | W 17-16 | 4.69 | 4.32 | +0.37 | 59.26%
| +1 |
| Dec 22December 22 (Wed) | at Boise State (12-1, 7-1) * | L 3-26 | 4.17 | 7.14 | -2.97 | 3.14%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 7-1 | 6.22 | 5.50 | +0.719 | 7.88-5.12 (+2.12) | -1 |