| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | at Southeastern Louisiana (11-3, 8-0) | L 7-45 | 4.52 | 7.27 | -2.74 | 3.80%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Ole Miss (8-5, 3-5) | L 13-31 | 3.88 | 6.49 | -2.61 | 4.36%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Southern Illinois (7-5, 5-3) * | L 19-36 | 5.39 | 5.76 | -0.37 | 40.70%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs #23 UT Martin (7-5, 5-3) | L 7-17 | 4.44 | 5.39 | -0.96 | 26.81%
| +1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at Tennessee State (10-4, 6-2) | L 16-40 | 4.87 | 6.97 | -2.10 | 8.17%
| -2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Murray State (6-6, 4-4) | W 37-34 | 5.21 | 5.25 | -0.03 | 49.13%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at #3 Eastern Illinois (12-2, 8-0) | L 33-55 | 4.89 | 8.21 | -3.32 | 2.76%
| +3 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Eastern Kentucky (6-6, 4-4) | L 7-31 | 4.44 | 5.64 | -1.20 | 21.83%
| -1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Urbana (0-1) | W 37-35 | | | | | |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Tennessee Tech (5-7, 2-6) | L 16-41 | 4.76 | 5.37 | -0.61 | 34.86%
| -2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Austin Peay (0-12, 0-8) | W 36-34 | 6.68 | 6.13 | +0.55 | 63.80%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Jacksonville State (11-4, 5-3) | L 34-42 | 6.34 | 8.39 | -2.04 | 8.79%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 5.04 | 6.44 | -1.406 | 2.65-8.35 (+0.35) | +2 |