| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at Kansas (1-11, 0-9) | L 16-38 | 3.29 | 7.05 | -3.76 | 2.51%
| +2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Dayton (5-6, 4-4) | L 23-25 | 5.91 | 4.29 | +1.61 | 85.51%
| -2 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Southern Illinois (4-7, 2-6) | L 17-35 | 3.86 | 4.55 | -0.69 | 32.87%
| -2 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Eastern Illinois (6-5, 5-3) | L 16-19 | 4.86 | 5.47 | -0.61 | 34.85%
| -2 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs Eastern Kentucky (4-7, 3-5) | W 29-10 | 5.60 | 4.66 | +0.94 | 72.63%
| +4 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Tennessee Tech (1-10, 1-7) | W 31-3 | 5.48 | 2.79 | +2.69 | 96.00%
| +3 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Austin Peay (8-4, 7-1) | L 31-38 | 6.06 | 7.71 | -1.65 | 13.99%
| 0 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at #3 Jacksonville State (10-2, 8-0) | L 7-23 | 2.94 | 5.69 | -2.75 | 3.77%
| +1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs UT Martin (6-5, 4-4) | L 14-16 | 6.02 | 6.00 | +0.02 | 50.48%
| -1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Tennessee State (6-5, 2-5) | L 20-23 | 4.92 | 5.81 | -0.90 | 28.14%
| -1 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Murray State (3-8, 2-5) | W 21-10 | 3.17 | 3.10 | +0.07 | 51.79%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-8, 3-5 | 4.68 | 5.13 | -0.453 | 4.73-6.27 (-1.73) | +3 |