| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Charlotte (5-7, 4-4) | W 30-7 | 6.95 | 4.26 | +2.69 | 95.99%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Gardner-Webb (4-8, 3-5) | W 13-6 | 5.12 | 4.14 | +0.98 | 73.70%
| +2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at North Carolina (6-7, 3-5) | W 70-50 | 8.37 | 7.80 | +0.57 | 64.27%
| +4 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Ball State (3-9, 2-6) | W 63-7 | 8.31 | 3.52 | +4.79 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Oct 5October 5 | at UL Monroe (5-7, 3-5) | L 19-21 | 4.93 | 4.28 | +0.64 | 65.95%
| +1 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Thu) | vs Coastal Carolina (6-7, 3-5) | W 39-7 | 6.01 | 3.48 | +2.53 | 95.24%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Georgia Southern (8-5, 6-2) | L 14-28 | 3.58 | 5.64 | -2.06 | 8.66%
| +4 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Southern Miss (1-11, 0-8) | W 32-15 | 5.33 | 4.09 | +1.24 | 78.90%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Georgia State (3-9, 1-7) | W 38-7 | 6.65 | 4.05 | +2.60 | 95.59%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Old Dominion (5-7, 4-4) | W 35-32 | 5.74 | 6.26 | -0.52 | 37.07%
| +1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at App State (5-6, 3-5) | L 20-34 | 5.41 | 5.92 | -0.51 | 37.14%
| -2 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Marshall (10-3, 8-1) | L 33-35 | 5.31 | 4.00 | +1.31 | 80.18%
| 0 |
| Dec 18December 18 (Wed) | vs Western Kentucky (8-6, 6-3) * | W 27-17 | 5.74 | 5.39 | +0.35 | 58.80%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 4-4 | 5.92 | 4.87 | +1.057 | 8.91-4.09 (+0.09) | +20 |