| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Weber State (4-8, 2-6) | W 45-10 | 6.45 | 2.60 | +3.85 | 97.64%
| +1 |
| Sep 5September 5 (Fri) | at Louisville (8-4, 4-4) | L 14-28 | 3.37 | 4.98 | -1.61 | 14.56%
| -1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Liberty (4-8, 3-5) | W 31-13 | 6.97 | 3.70 | +3.27 | 97.22%
| -1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Georgia Southern (6-6, 4-4) | W 35-10 | 6.82 | 4.02 | +2.80 | 96.41%
| 0 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at Georgia State (1-11, 0-8) | W 14-7 | 4.71 | 4.61 | +0.10 | 52.48%
| 0 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs Louisiana (6-6, 5-3) | W 24-14 | 6.19 | 5.14 | +1.05 | 75.08%
| -2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Old Dominion (10-3, 6-2) | W 63-27 | 7.90 | 5.70 | +2.20 | 92.76%
| +2 |
| Oct 28October 28 (Tue) | at Texas State (6-6, 3-5) | W 52-20 | 8.52 | 4.69 | +3.82 | 97.59%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Marshall (5-7, 3-5) | W 35-23 | 6.93 | 4.81 | +2.12 | 91.99%
| -1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs App State (5-7, 2-6) | W 58-10 | 7.05 | 2.81 | +4.24 | 99.19%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Washington State (6-6, 1-1) | W 24-20 | 6.38 | 4.43 | +1.95 | 90.18%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Coastal Carolina (6-6, 5-3) | W 59-10 | 7.50 | 2.74 | +4.76 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Dec 5December 5 (Fri) | vs Troy (8-6, 6-3) | W 31-14 | 6.13 | 2.64 | +3.49 | 97.31%
| -1 |
| Dec 20December 20 | at #5 Oregon (11-1, 8-1) | 7:30 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 12-1, 9-0 | 6.52 | 4.07 | +2.446 | 11.02-1.98 (+0.98) | -1 |