| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Southern Utah (6-5, 1-3) | W 29-28 | 5.65 | 6.30 | -0.65 | 33.75%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Illinois (7-6, 2-6) | L 3-56 | 2.54 | 7.72 | -5.18 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Cal Poly (6-5, 3-1) | L 14-48 | 6.40 | 6.87 | -0.47 | 38.09%
| -3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Illinois State (7-4, 5-3) | L 13-20 | 4.47 | 4.69 | -0.23 | 44.26%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs #24 Indiana State (6-5, 4-4) | L 28-38 | 5.11 | 6.45 | -1.34 | 19.15%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Youngstown State (6-5, 4-4) | W 35-28 | 6.74 | 6.24 | +0.50 | 62.54%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs #2 Northern Iowa (10-3, 7-1) | L 14-31 | 5.40 | 7.87 | -2.47 | 5.16%
| -4 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs #3 North Dakota State (14-1, 7-1) | L 14-38 | 5.50 | 5.73 | -0.23 | 44.26%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Missouri State (2-9, 2-6) | W 43-36 | 7.82 | 5.45 | +2.37 | 94.16%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Southern Illinois (4-7, 2-6) | W 45-34 | 6.96 | 5.30 | +1.66 | 86.15%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Western Illinois (2-9, 1-7) | W 27-7 | 3.96 | 4.92 | -0.96 | 26.81%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 4-4 | 5.58 | 6.08 | -0.496 | 4.54-6.46 (+0.46) | -6 |