| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Mississippi State (5-7, 1-7) | L 17-34 | 4.07 | 5.89 | -1.82 | 11.52%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs #14 Jackson State (9-3, 7-2) | W 38-20 | 5.34 | 4.60 | +0.74 | 68.19%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs App State (5-7, 2-6) | W 38-22 | 6.95 | 5.22 | +1.72 | 87.15%
| +2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Louisiana Tech (7-5, 5-3) | L 20-30 | 6.27 | 5.76 | +0.51 | 62.65%
| -1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Jacksonville State (9-5, 7-2) | W 42-25 | 5.34 | 4.94 | +0.40 | 60.09%
| +3 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Thu) | at Georgia Southern (6-6, 4-4) | W 38-35 | 5.54 | 5.13 | +0.41 | 60.30%
| +2 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at Louisiana (6-6, 5-3) | W 22-10 | 6.27 | 4.69 | +1.58 | 84.92%
| +1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs UL Monroe (3-9, 1-7) | W 49-21 | 7.30 | 4.73 | +2.57 | 95.42%
| +3 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Arkansas State (6-6, 5-3) | W 27-21 | 6.86 | 5.24 | +1.62 | 85.52%
| +4 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Texas State (6-6, 3-5) | L 14-41 | 5.28 | 6.60 | -1.32 | 19.54%
| -3 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at South Alabama (4-8, 3-5) | L 35-42 | 5.88 | 5.76 | +0.12 | 53.12%
| -1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Troy (8-6, 6-3) | L 18-28 | 4.61 | 5.86 | -1.26 | 20.72%
| 0 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Tue) | vs Western Kentucky (8-4, 6-2) * | 5:30 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 5-3 | 5.78 | 5.36 | +0.418 | 7.09-4.91 (-0.09) | +12 |