| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at #3 Montana (8-3, 5-2) | L 24-29 | 4.88 | 5.69 | -0.81 | 30.09%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Ball State (3-7, 2-4) | L 34-42 | 5.82 | 5.52 | +0.30 | 57.55%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Lindenwood (5-6, 4-3) | W 28-14 | 6.80 | 6.31 | +0.49 | 62.33%
| +3 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at UT Martin (7-4, 5-2) | W 31-24 | 6.30 | 4.89 | +1.41 | 82.05%
| +2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Youngstown State (4-8, 3-5) | W 38-31 | 9.47 | 5.58 | +3.89 | 97.72%
| +1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at #16 Illinois State (8-3, 5-2) | W 31-7 | 7.42 | 5.33 | +2.10 | 91.77%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Indiana State (4-7, 3-4) | W 46-21 | 7.53 | 4.53 | +3.00 | 96.92%
| -2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Northern Iowa (2-9, 0-7) | W 49-42 | 9.75 | 6.74 | +3.01 | 96.93%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Southern Illinois (3-8, 1-6) | W 38-17 | 5.58 | 4.19 | +1.39 | 81.78%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Murray State (1-10, 0-7) | W 59-31 | 9.19 | 6.17 | +3.02 | 96.95%
| +1 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at #1 North Dakota State (10-1, 7-0) | L 21-59 | 5.70 | 8.85 | -3.14 | 2.89%
| -1 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs #3 South Dakota State (9-2, 6-1) | 3:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-3, 6-1 | 7.03 | 5.79 | +1.239 | 7.97-3.03 (+0.03) | +5 |