| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at USC (9-3, 7-2) | L 13-73 | 3.93 | 10.47 | -6.54 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at Marshall (5-7, 3-5) | W 21-20 | 6.77 | 4.81 | +1.96 | 90.31%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs SMU (8-4, 6-2) | L 10-28 | 5.05 | 6.40 | -1.35 | 18.90%
| -1 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs UT Martin (6-6, 6-2) | W 42-10 | 7.24 | 3.88 | +3.36 | 97.27%
| +2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Western Kentucky (8-4, 6-2) | L 22-27 | 6.27 | 7.00 | -0.73 | 32.03%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 (Wed) | at Middle Tennessee (3-9, 2-6) | W 22-20 | 5.73 | 5.55 | +0.18 | 54.67%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 (Wed) | at New Mexico State (4-8, 2-6) | W 24-17 | 5.38 | 4.90 | +0.48 | 62.11%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 (Wed) | vs Florida International (7-5, 5-3) | W 28-21 | 5.77 | 4.87 | +0.89 | 71.69%
| +1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Liberty (4-8, 3-5) | W 21-17 | 5.83 | 5.10 | +0.72 | 67.81%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs UTEP (2-10, 1-7) | W 38-24 | 5.59 | 4.14 | +1.45 | 82.82%
| 0 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Kennesaw State (10-3, 8-1) | L 34-41 | 8.63 | 6.33 | +2.30 | 93.64%
| -2 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Louisiana Tech (7-5, 5-3) | L 30-42 | 7.17 | 7.42 | -0.25 | 43.66%
| -1 |
| Dec 18December 18 (Thu) | at Arkansas State (6-6, 5-3) * | 9:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 5-3 | 6.10 | 5.91 | +0.190 | 7.15-4.85 (-0.15) | -1 |