| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | at #24 Chattanooga (8-4, 6-2) | W 31-21 | 5.86 | 5.49 | +0.36 | 59.18%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Boise State (8-5, 6-2) | L 14-63 | 4.31 | 5.83 | -1.52 | 16.04%
| -5 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs #8 Central Arkansas (7-5, 4-3) | W 24-23 | 4.96 | 5.30 | -0.35 | 41.26%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Southeast Missouri State (3-9, 2-6) | W 17-7 | 5.39 | 4.44 | +0.96 | 73.15%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Jacksonville State (11-4, 5-3) | L 27-41 | 5.36 | 6.64 | -1.28 | 20.32%
| -2 |
| Oct 10October 10 (Thu) | at Tennessee Tech (5-7, 2-6) | W 28-17 | 6.62 | 4.88 | +1.74 | 87.35%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs #24 Tennessee State (10-4, 6-2) | L 15-29 | 4.14 | 4.09 | +0.05 | 51.25%
| -3 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Austin Peay (0-12, 0-8) | W 38-14 | 7.53 | 4.88 | +2.65 | 95.82%
| -3 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Murray State (6-6, 4-4) | W 45-17 | 6.21 | 4.18 | +2.04 | 91.14%
| +1 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at Memphis (3-9, 1-7) | L 6-21 | 4.69 | 5.61 | -0.92 | 27.71%
| 0 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Eastern Kentucky (6-6, 4-4) | W 16-7 | 5.46 | 3.69 | +1.77 | 87.77%
| +2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs #2 Eastern Illinois (12-2, 8-0) | L 22-70 | 3.93 | 6.29 | -2.35 | 5.95%
| -4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-5, 5-3 | 5.35 | 5.20 | +0.149 | 6.57-5.43 (+0.43) | -15 |