| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Sun) | vs #23 Bethune-Cookman (10-3, 7-1) | L 9-12 | 4.13 | 4.19 | -0.06 | 48.45%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Florida A&M (3-9, 2-6) | W 27-7 | 6.05 | 3.06 | +2.99 | 96.89%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Jackson State (7-4, 7-2) * | W 26-16 | 4.25 | 5.03 | -0.77 | 30.96%
| +3 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Tennessee Tech (5-7, 2-6) | W 41-21 | 6.35 | 4.01 | +2.33 | 93.91%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Central State (0-1) * | W 73-6 | | | | | |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-9, 2-6) | W 40-16 | 6.97 | 4.87 | +2.10 | 91.82%
| +2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at #24 Jacksonville State (11-4, 5-3) | W 31-15 | 4.64 | 3.89 | +0.75 | 68.39%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at UT Martin (7-5, 5-3) | W 29-15 | 4.09 | 4.14 | -0.05 | 48.71%
| +3 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs #2 Eastern Illinois (12-2, 8-0) | L 16-34 | 4.39 | 7.27 | -2.88 | 3.36%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Eastern Kentucky (6-6, 4-4) | L 0-44 | 2.73 | 4.69 | -1.96 | 9.71%
| -2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Austin Peay (0-12, 0-8) | W 31-6 | 5.15 | 1.46 | +3.68 | 97.42%
| -3 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Murray State (6-6, 4-4) | W 17-10 | 4.12 | 4.52 | -0.39 | 40.07%
| +1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Butler (9-4, 7-1) | W 31-0 | 5.76 | 3.84 | +1.93 | 89.87%
| 0 |
| Dec 7December 7 | at Eastern Illinois (12-2, 8-0) | L 10-51 | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-4, 6-2 | 4.93 | 4.31 | +0.627 | 7.20-4.80 (+2.80) | +8 |