| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at South Alabama (2-11, 1-7) | W 33-31 | 6.53 | 4.89 | +1.64 | 85.83%
| +3 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Texas A&M-Commerce (0-1) | W 27-16 | 5.25 | | | | |
| Sep 15September 15 | at Georgia State (1-10, 1-7) | W 38-14 | 5.60 | | | | |
| Sep 22September 22 | vs Northwestern Oklahoma State (0-1) | W 56-3 | 8.09 | | | | |
| Sep 29September 29 | at New Mexico State (1-11, 0-6) | W 35-14 | 6.22 | 4.80 | +1.42 | 82.34%
| +4 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at Rice (7-6, 4-4) | L 14-34 | 4.35 | 5.96 | -1.62 | 14.43%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs San José State (11-2, 5-1) | L 24-52 | 5.89 | 6.34 | -0.45 | 38.59%
| -3 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs Utah State (11-2, 6-0) | L 17-48 | 4.67 | 6.61 | -1.94 | 10.02%
| 0 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at #25 Louisiana Tech (9-3, 4-2) | L 27-51 | 5.92 | 6.80 | -0.88 | 28.59%
| 0 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs McNeese (7-4, 4-3) | W 31-24 | 5.19 | 6.10 | -0.91 | 27.92%
| +2 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at Idaho (1-11, 1-5) | W 34-27 | 5.81 | 7.00 | -1.19 | 21.99%
| +2 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs Texas State (4-8, 2-4) | W 38-31 | 7.03 | 5.23 | +1.80 | 88.24%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-4, 3-3 | 5.87 | 5.98 | -0.110 | 3.98-5.02 (+4.02) | +6 |