| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Kennesaw State (1-8, 1-4) | W 28-16 | 5.78 | 3.78 | +2.00 | 90.74%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Texas State (5-4, 3-2) | L 10-49 | 4.18 | 7.41 | -3.23 | 2.81%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at #2 Texas (8-1, 4-1) | L 7-56 | 3.77 | 9.16 | -5.40 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Houston Christian (4-6, 2-3) | W 45-7 | 6.46 | 3.11 | +3.35 | 97.26%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at East Carolina (5-4, 3-2) | L 20-30 | 5.12 | 4.80 | +0.32 | 58.09%
| -1 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Rice (3-7, 2-4) | L 27-29 | 5.05 | 6.48 | -1.43 | 17.50%
| 0 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Florida Atlantic (2-7, 0-5) | W 38-24 | 5.45 | 3.76 | +1.69 | 86.65%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Tulsa (3-6, 1-4) | L 45-46 | 6.00 | 5.53 | +0.47 | 61.74%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs #25 Memphis (8-2, 4-2) | W 44-36 | 5.59 | 7.07 | -1.48 | 16.68%
| +2 |
| Nov 15November 15 (Fri) | vs North Texas (5-4, 2-3) | 9:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 22November 22 (Fri) | vs Temple (2-7, 1-4) | 7:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 30November 30 | at #25 Army (9-0, 7-0) | 12:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-5, 2-3 | 5.30 | 5.76 | -0.467 | 4.31-4.69 (-0.31) | +1 |