| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Stony Brook (9-4, 6-0) | W 31-24 | 6.75 | 5.94 | +0.81 | 69.85%
| -4 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at SMU (8-5, 5-3) | L 17-28 | 4.69 | 6.79 | -2.11 | 8.11%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at New Mexico State (4-9, 2-5) | W 16-10 | 4.73 | 4.61 | +0.12 | 53.09%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at #18 South Florida (5-7, 1-6) | L 24-52 | 5.01 | 8.58 | -3.57 | 2.67%
| -3 |
| Sep 29September 29 (Thu) | vs Houston (13-1, 8-1) | L 42-49 | 8.16 | 9.22 | -1.06 | 24.59%
| -3 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Tulane (2-11, 1-7) | W 44-7 | 6.65 | 5.15 | +1.50 | 83.59%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Colorado State (3-9, 1-6) | W 31-17 | 9.14 | 4.03 | +5.11 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Southern Mississippi (12-2, 7-2) | L 13-31 | 4.60 | 6.22 | -1.62 | 14.36%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Rice (4-8, 3-5) | L 37-41 | 8.04 | 7.22 | +0.82 | 70.18%
| -2 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs East Carolina (5-7, 4-4) | W 22-17 | 6.03 | 4.04 | +1.98 | 90.53%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Tulsa (8-5, 7-1) | L 28-57 | 5.19 | 8.33 | -3.14 | 2.89%
| 0 |
| Nov 25November 25 (Fri) | at UCF (5-7, 3-5) | L 14-31 | 4.40 | 8.70 | -4.30 | 0.32%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 2-6 | 5.95 | 6.53 | -0.582 | 5.20-6.80 (-0.20) | -10 |