| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 27August 27 | vs North Texas (7-7, 6-3) | L 13-31 | 5.13 | 5.70 | -0.57 | 35.71%
| 0 |
| Sep 3September 3 | at #9 Oklahoma (6-7, 3-6) | L 13-45 | 3.85 | 8.07 | -4.21 | 0.97%
| -1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs New Mexico State (7-6, 2-0) | W 20-13 | 4.81 | 4.59 | +0.22 | 55.62%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at New Mexico (2-10, 0-8) | L 10-27 | 5.27 | 4.67 | +0.60 | 64.86%
| -5 |
| Sep 23September 23 (Fri) | vs Boise State (10-4, 8-1) | W 27-10 | 4.95 | 3.34 | +1.61 | 85.50%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Charlotte (3-9, 2-6) | W 41-35 | 7.20 | 6.85 | +0.36 | 59.00%
| +2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | L 31-41 | 5.63 | 6.33 | -0.70 | 32.57%
| -2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Florida Atlantic (5-7, 4-4) | W 24-21 | 6.15 | 5.67 | +0.48 | 61.95%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Middle Tennessee (8-5, 4-4) | L 13-24 | 4.23 | 6.10 | -1.86 | 10.91%
| 0 |
| Nov 3November 3 (Thu) | at Rice (5-8, 3-5) | L 30-37 | 4.89 | 7.97 | -3.08 | 2.97%
| +2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Florida International (4-8, 2-6) | W 40-6 | 6.65 | 1.65 | +4.99 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at #25 UTSA (11-3, 9-0) | L 31-34 | 7.43 | 8.04 | -0.60 | 34.98%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 3-5 | 5.49 | 5.86 | -0.371 | 5.45-6.55 (-0.45) | -5 |