| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs #12 Idaho (4-8, 2-6) | W 13-10 | 3.98 | 3.40 | +0.58 | 64.48%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs San Diego State (9-3, 6-2) | W 36-13 | 5.36 | 3.58 | +1.78 | 87.90%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at North Texas (11-2, 7-2) | L 10-59 | 4.37 | 6.51 | -2.14 | 7.76%
| -5 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Washington (9-4, 5-4) | L 24-59 | 4.84 | 9.28 | -4.43 | 0.00%
| -3 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Colorado State (2-10, 1-7) | W 20-3 | 5.69 | 5.14 | +0.55 | 63.73%
| +1 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at #4 Ole Miss (11-1, 7-1) | L 21-24 | 5.85 | 6.27 | -0.42 | 39.31%
| +1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at #18 Virginia (10-3, 7-2) | L 20-22 | 5.26 | 5.28 | -0.02 | 49.40%
| -2 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Toledo (8-4, 6-2) | W 28-7 | 4.86 | 4.53 | +0.33 | 58.40%
| -1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Oregon State (2-10, 1-1) | L 7-10 | 4.59 | 3.53 | +1.07 | 75.47%
| -2 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Louisiana Tech (7-5, 5-3) | W 28-3 | 4.73 | 3.28 | +1.46 | 82.96%
| +1 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at #21 James Madison (12-1, 9-0) | L 20-24 | 4.43 | 6.38 | -1.95 | 9.81%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Oregon State (2-10, 1-1) | W 32-8 | 6.18 | 4.00 | +2.18 | 92.56%
| +1 |
| Dec 22December 22 (Mon) | at Utah State (6-6, 4-4) * | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-6, 1-1 | 5.02 | 5.04 | -0.023 | 6.32-5.68 (-0.32) | -8 |