| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | vs Nicholls (4-8, 4-3) | W 38-20 | 6.12 | 4.79 | +1.33 | 80.62%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #8 Clemson (7-5, 4-4) | L 16-27 | 4.78 | 5.75 | -0.97 | 26.63%
| -1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Memphis (8-4, 4-4) | L 7-28 | 2.04 | 5.97 | -3.94 | 2.18%
| 0 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Buffalo (5-7, 4-4) | W 21-17 | 4.40 | 4.48 | -0.09 | 47.79%
| -2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | vs South Alabama (4-8, 3-5) | W 31-24 | 6.36 | 5.20 | +1.17 | 77.48%
| -2 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Texas State (6-6, 3-5) | W 48-41 | 6.36 | 7.65 | -1.29 | 20.05%
| 0 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at UL Monroe (3-9, 1-7) | W 37-14 | 5.93 | 4.66 | +1.27 | 79.46%
| +4 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Louisiana (6-6, 5-3) | W 35-23 | 5.48 | 5.71 | -0.23 | 44.11%
| +2 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Arkansas State (6-6, 5-3) | L 10-23 | 2.75 | 4.79 | -2.04 | 8.82%
| 0 |
| Nov 13November 13 (Thu) | at Old Dominion (10-3, 6-2) | L 0-33 | 2.42 | 7.40 | -4.98 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Nov 22November 22 | vs Georgia State (1-11, 0-8) | W 31-19 | 5.64 | 6.07 | -0.43 | 39.15%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Southern Miss (7-5, 5-3) | W 28-18 | 5.86 | 4.61 | +1.26 | 79.26%
| 0 |
| Dec 5December 5 (Fri) | at #25 James Madison (12-1, 9-0) | L 14-31 | 2.64 | 6.13 | -3.49 | 2.70%
| +1 |
| Dec 16December 16 (Tue) | at Jacksonville State (9-5, 7-2) * | L 13-17 | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-6, 6-3 | 4.73 | 5.68 | -0.951 | 5.08-7.92 (+2.92) | +1 |