| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 (Thu) | vs Wake Forest (7-6, 3-5) | L 17-23 | 5.52 | 5.83 | -0.31 | 42.12%
| +2 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs #10 Nicholls (9-4, 7-2) | W 42-17 | 8.04 | 5.85 | +2.19 | 92.68%
| +1 |
| Sep 15September 15 | at UAB (11-3, 8-1) | L 24-31 | 5.38 | 5.41 | -0.03 | 49.20%
| -1 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at #4 Ohio State (13-1, 9-1) | L 6-49 | 4.41 | 7.50 | -3.09 | 2.96%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 (Fri) | vs Memphis (8-6, 5-4) | W 40-24 | 6.36 | 5.43 | +0.93 | 72.47%
| 0 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Cincinnati (11-2, 6-2) | L 21-37 | 3.86 | 6.11 | -2.25 | 6.74%
| +2 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs SMU (5-7, 4-4) | L 23-27 | 4.65 | 4.54 | +0.11 | 52.79%
| -2 |
| Oct 27October 27 | at Tulsa (3-9, 2-6) | W 24-17 | 5.46 | 5.16 | +0.30 | 57.46%
| 0 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at South Florida (7-6, 3-5) | W 41-15 | 6.76 | 5.37 | +1.40 | 81.84%
| +2 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs East Carolina (3-9, 1-7) | W 24-18 | 6.95 | 4.79 | +2.16 | 92.41%
| 0 |
| Nov 15November 15 (Thu) | at Houston (8-5, 5-3) | L 17-48 | 5.36 | 6.26 | -0.90 | 28.15%
| -3 |
| Nov 24November 24 | vs Navy (3-10, 2-6) | W 29-28 | 6.89 | 5.26 | +1.62 | 85.63%
| -1 |
| Dec 15December 15 | at Louisiana (7-7, 5-4) * | W 41-24 | 5.61 | 4.69 | +0.91 | 72.16%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 5.77 | 5.58 | +0.191 | 7.37-5.63 (-0.37) | -1 |