| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs Samford (3-6, 2-3) | W 38-29 | 5.70 | 5.96 | -0.26 | 43.36%
| +2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Abilene Christian (7-3, 6-1) | L 24-38 | 4.41 | 6.40 | -1.99 | 9.42%
| +1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Eastern Kentucky (6-4, 4-2) | L 7-19 | 5.20 | 5.57 | -0.37 | 40.74%
| -1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs North Alabama (3-8, 3-4) | L 16-25 | 5.72 | 4.17 | +1.54 | 84.36%
| -1 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Austin Peay (4-6, 3-4) | L 16-20 | 6.19 | 4.65 | +1.53 | 84.22%
| 0 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at #13 Central Arkansas (6-4, 3-3) | L 27-34 | 5.73 | 6.06 | -0.32 | 41.82%
| -2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Shorter (3-5, 1-4) | W 41-13 | 8.00 | 3.28 | +4.72 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Southern Utah (5-5, 4-2) | L 17-28 | 5.68 | 6.35 | -0.67 | 33.25%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Lincoln (CA) (0-10, 0-1) | W 88-12 | 10.93 | 3.94 | +6.99 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs #14 Tarleton State (8-2, 5-1) | L 21-38 | 4.80 | 5.28 | -0.48 | 37.84%
| -5 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Utah Tech (1-9, 1-5) | 4:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-7, 0-7 | 6.05 | 5.18 | +0.862 | 5.75-4.25 (-2.75) | -4 |