| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | at Samford (1-11, 1-7) | W 34-3 | 5.96 | 3.76 | +2.19 | 92.71%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #25 Nicholls (4-8, 4-3) | W 34-10 | 4.82 | 3.75 | +1.07 | 75.54%
| -2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs East Tennessee State (7-5, 5-3) | W 35-31 | 5.79 | 4.66 | +1.12 | 76.61%
| -2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Eastern Kentucky (5-7, 3-5) | W 33-12 | 4.32 | 4.96 | -0.64 | 34.15%
| +2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Southern Utah (7-5, 6-2) | W 27-24 | 4.83 | 5.09 | -0.25 | 43.58%
| +2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at #21 Austin Peay (7-5, 4-4) | L 30-44 | 5.25 | 7.46 | -2.21 | 7.09%
| 0 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs #21 Abilene Christian (8-4, 7-1) | L 13-30 | 5.82 | 5.96 | -0.15 | 46.28%
| 0 |
| Oct 18October 18 | at #3 Tarleton State (11-1, 7-1) | L 10-45 | 3.59 | 7.22 | -3.63 | 2.63%
| -4 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Central Arkansas (3-9, 2-6) | W 18-17 | 4.85 | 4.84 | +0.01 | 50.12%
| +1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at North Alabama (2-10, 1-7) | W 24-17 | 6.57 | 4.11 | +2.46 | 94.82%
| 0 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Utah Tech (2-10, 1-7) | W 23-0 | 5.48 | 4.29 | +1.19 | 77.95%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-3, 5-3 | 5.23 | 5.17 | +0.063 | 6.01-4.99 (+1.99) | +1 |