| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | at Samford (0-6, 0-4) | W 34-3 | 5.96 | 3.76 | +2.19 | 92.71%
| +1 |
| Sep 6September 6 | at #25 Nicholls (1-5, 1-1) | W 34-10 | 4.82 | 3.75 | +1.07 | 75.54%
| -2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs East Tennessee State (2-4, 0-2) | W 35-31 | 5.79 | 4.66 | +1.12 | 76.61%
| -2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | vs Eastern Kentucky (2-3, 0-1) | W 33-12 | 4.32 | 4.96 | -0.64 | 34.15%
| +2 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at Southern Utah (1-5, 0-2) | W 27-24 | 4.83 | 5.09 | -0.25 | 43.58%
| +2 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at #21 Austin Peay (4-2, 2-1) | L 30-44 | 5.25 | 7.46 | -2.21 | 7.09%
| 0 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs #21 Abilene Christian (3-3, 2-0) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 18October 18 | at #3 Tarleton State (6-0, 2-0) | 7:00 PM | | | | | |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Central Arkansas (2-4, 1-1) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 8November 8 | at North Alabama (1-4, 0-1) | | | | | | |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Utah Tech (1-5, 0-2) | 2:00 PM | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-1, 2-1 | 5.19 | 4.97 | +0.221 | 3.30-2.70 (+1.70) | +1 |