| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 (Thu) | at Tennessee Tech (1-10, 1-7) | W 41-14 | 5.68 | 4.85 | +0.83 | 70.37%
| +3 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Northern Arizona (7-5, 6-2) | W 38-20 | 6.04 | 4.56 | +1.49 | 83.41%
| +1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Coastal Carolina (3-9, 2-6) | W 52-10 | 8.95 | 5.29 | +3.65 | 97.39%
| +4 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs #10 South Dakota (8-5, 4-4) | L 33-38 | 6.58 | 6.01 | +0.57 | 64.25%
| -1 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at #21 Northern Iowa (8-5, 6-3) | W 38-29 | 7.09 | 5.24 | +1.85 | 88.95%
| +4 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Missouri State (3-8, 2-6) | W 49-30 | 8.43 | 5.47 | +2.96 | 96.84%
| 0 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at #2 North Dakota State (14-1, 7-1) | L 12-24 | 4.24 | 6.09 | -1.86 | 11.03%
| +1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs #8 South Dakota State (11-3, 7-2) | L 24-52 | 6.48 | 7.24 | -0.76 | 31.27%
| -1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at #13 Illinois State (6-5, 4-4) | W 31-14 | 6.55 | 4.51 | +2.04 | 91.18%
| +2 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Indiana State (0-11, 0-8) | W 45-0 | 5.76 | 2.51 | +3.25 | 97.21%
| +1 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Southern Illinois (4-7, 2-6) | W 28-14 | 4.61 | 4.54 | +0.06 | 51.56%
| +1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at #8 Weber State (11-3, 9-1) | L 19-21 | 4.75 | 4.42 | +0.33 | 58.28%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-4, 5-3 | 6.23 | 5.19 | +1.045 | 8.42-3.58 (-0.42) | +13 |