| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Fri) | at #12 Illinois (7-4, 4-4) | L 3-52 | 2.96 | 7.46 | -4.49 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 5September 5 (Fri) | at Northwestern (6-5, 4-4) | L 7-42 | 3.62 | 7.51 | -3.89 | 2.28%
| 0 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs Valparaiso (2-10, 1-7) | W 51-30 | 7.92 | 4.68 | +3.24 | 97.20%
| -2 |
| Sep 20September 20 | at Eastern Washington (5-7, 4-4) | L 31-52 | 4.37 | 8.41 | -4.04 | 1.83%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Eastern Illinois (3-9, 2-6) | L 23-31 | 4.08 | 6.45 | -2.38 | 5.78%
| 0 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at #9 Tennessee Tech (11-1, 8-0) | L 20-66 | 5.21 | 8.83 | -3.62 | 2.64%
| -2 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at UT Martin (6-6, 6-2) | L 31-32 | 7.90 | 6.10 | +1.81 | 88.30%
| +1 |
| Oct 18October 18 | vs Charleston Southern (5-7, 4-4) | L 24-29 | 5.86 | 5.95 | -0.09 | 47.78%
| -1 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at Tennessee State (2-10, 0-8) | W 17-16 | 3.92 | 4.62 | -0.70 | 32.70%
| +2 |
| Nov 8November 8 | vs Lindenwood (6-6, 5-3) | W 24-21 | 5.06 | 6.23 | -1.18 | 22.28%
| +3 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Southeast Missouri State (4-8, 3-5) | L 17-22 | 5.10 | 5.17 | -0.06 | 48.35%
| -2 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at Gardner-Webb (7-5, 5-3) | W 29-24 | 4.80 | 6.05 | -1.25 | 20.77%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 5.07 | 6.46 | -1.386 | 3.70-8.30 (+0.30) | +1 |