| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at Iowa (8-5, 4-5) | L 3-24 | 3.33 | 4.70 | -1.37 | 18.65%
| +2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs Gardner-Webb (1-10, 0-5) | W 27-0 | 6.55 | 3.31 | +3.24 | 97.21%
| +1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Oregon (7-6, 4-5) | L 13-49 | 3.21 | 5.87 | -2.66 | 4.11%
| +1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Hawai'i (3-9, 1-7) | W 28-21 | 5.60 | 5.77 | -0.17 | 45.79%
| +2 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs Texas State (2-10, 1-7) | W 45-10 | 5.46 | 3.49 | +1.97 | 90.32%
| +1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Utah State (6-7, 4-4) | W 28-23 | 4.73 | 4.78 | -0.05 | 48.70%
| +4 |
| Oct 21October 21 | at Boise State (11-3, 8-1) | L 14-24 | 3.97 | 5.12 | -1.15 | 22.78%
| -2 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs New Mexico (3-9, 1-7) | W 42-3 | 5.15 | 2.83 | +2.32 | 93.79%
| +7 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Colorado State (7-6, 5-3) | W 16-13 | 5.44 | 5.00 | +0.44 | 61.16%
| -1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Air Force (5-7, 4-4) | W 28-14 | 3.95 | 4.55 | -0.61 | 34.89%
| +2 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Fresno State (10-4, 7-2) | L 7-13 | 5.05 | 4.90 | +0.15 | 53.84%
| -1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at San José State (2-11, 1-7) | L 17-20 | 4.41 | 4.44 | -0.04 | 49.04%
| 0 |
| Dec 22December 22 (Fri) | vs Central Michigan (8-5, 6-2) * | W 37-14 | 4.51 | 5.20 | -0.69 | 32.86%
| +8 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 5-3 | 4.68 | 4.67 | +0.012 | 6.53-6.47 (+1.47) | +24 |