| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 27August 27 | at Illinois (8-5, 5-4) | L 6-38 | 4.16 | 5.89 | -1.73 | 12.72%
| -2 |
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Tulsa (5-7, 3-5) | W 40-37 | 5.96 | 6.20 | -0.25 | 43.72%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Northern Colorado (3-8, 2-6) | W 33-10 | 3.81 | 2.45 | +1.36 | 81.10%
| +3 |
| Sep 16September 16 (Fri) | vs Air Force (10-3, 5-3) | W 17-14 | 5.90 | 5.04 | +0.86 | 70.96%
| -1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at #19 BYU (8-5, 0-2) | L 24-38 | 4.56 | 8.33 | -3.78 | 2.49%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs San José State (7-5, 5-3) | L 16-33 | 4.77 | 6.00 | -1.23 | 21.31%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at New Mexico (2-10, 0-8) | W 27-14 | 5.07 | 4.49 | +0.57 | 64.30%
| +3 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Utah State (6-7, 5-3) | W 28-14 | 6.96 | 3.50 | +3.46 | 97.30%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Hawai'i (3-10, 2-6) | W 27-20 | 7.48 | 4.67 | +2.81 | 96.44%
| -2 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Colorado State (3-9, 3-5) | W 14-13 | 4.54 | 6.31 | -1.77 | 12.23%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Boise State (10-4, 8-1) | L 17-20 | 6.42 | 6.23 | +0.18 | 54.62%
| -1 |
| Nov 25November 25 (Fri) | at Fresno State (10-4, 8-1) | L 0-30 | 3.29 | 4.50 | -1.21 | 21.69%
| -2 |
| Dec 30December 30 (Fri) | vs Ohio (10-4, 7-2) * | L 27-30 | 4.62 | 5.35 | -0.73 | 32.01%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 5.21 | 5.35 | -0.146 | 6.11-6.89 (+0.89) | -1 |