| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at Navy (4-8, 3-5) | W 49-7 | 7.37 | 4.33 | +3.04 | 96.98%
| -1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs North Carolina Central (6-5, 4-1) | W 44-10 | 6.99 | 2.95 | +4.04 | 98.16%
| -1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs East Carolina (7-5, 5-3) | L 38-42 | 8.51 | 6.17 | +2.35 | 94.01%
| -2 |
| Sep 23September 23 (Thu) | at Appalachian State (10-4, 7-2) | L 30-31 | 6.55 | 6.07 | +0.49 | 62.16%
| +2 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Middle Tennessee (7-6, 4-4) | L 28-34 | 6.01 | 4.49 | +1.53 | 84.08%
| -4 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Old Dominion (6-7, 5-3) | W 20-13 | 5.00 | 4.30 | +0.70 | 67.27%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 (Fri) | at North Texas (6-7, 5-3) | W 49-21 | 6.73 | 5.34 | +1.39 | 81.81%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Florida International (1-11, 0-8) | W 38-0 | 5.92 | 4.36 | +1.56 | 84.61%
| +2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Florida Atlantic (5-7, 3-5) | W 28-13 | 7.10 | 5.54 | +1.56 | 84.58%
| 0 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs UAB (9-4, 6-2) | L 14-21 | 4.48 | 5.20 | -0.72 | 32.28%
| -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Charlotte (5-7, 3-5) | W 49-28 | 8.17 | 4.99 | +3.18 | 97.16%
| +2 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Western Kentucky (9-5, 7-2) | L 21-53 | 4.11 | 5.92 | -1.80 | 11.76%
| -2 |
| Dec 18December 18 | vs Louisiana (13-1, 9-0) * | L 21-36 | 5.11 | 6.00 | -0.89 | 28.27%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 6.33 | 5.13 | +1.203 | 9.23-3.77 (-2.23) | -8 |